MODEL PREDICTION · 2026-09-10
● HARD
E. Rybakina vs C. Gauff — prediction
Result pending
RYBAKINAWIN PROBABILITYGAUFF
52%
model prob.
@1.92
odds · 52% impl.
⚔H2H 1–1 Rybakina◐Hard 80%🎾Serve 65%📈Form 9/10 · 8✓
CONDITIONS OF THE MATCH◆ in the model◇ context
Surface◆
Hard
Consistent bounce, medium-fast: neutral conditions, no style favored.
Temperature◇
31°C
Strong heat: warm air speeds the ball up and physical wear tells in long matches.
Humidity◇
46%
Dry air: the ball travels normally.
Wind◇
15 km/h
Light wind: no noticeable effect.
Surface feeds the model (surface specialization is one of its factors). Weather and altitude are context we publish for you — they do NOT move the probability.
OUR MODEL'S REASONING
›Ranking: #2 vs #4 (better ranked)
›Head-to-head: 1-1 even
›Solid on Hard: 73% career on the surface
›Recent form: 9/10 in recent matches
›On a streak: 8 wins in a row
›Match-sharp: 5 matches in the last 2 weeks
Calibrated model probability (~64% out-of-sample accuracy, validated specifically on WTA). Not a guarantee: the model ≈ the market on average, so the odds already capture almost all the edge. 18+ · gamble responsibly.