Analyze a tennis match · Today's predictions

Analyze a match

Search for a player or match, or pick one — the model's prediction appears below.

⌕

Today's matches

Today's matches: ATP and WTA with the factor model (65%/64% audited accuracy); Challenger/ITF with an Elo estimate (soft market, edge unproven). 18+ · gamble responsibly.

Analysis of the selected match

ANALYZE MATCH · MODEL PREDICTION

● GRASS

Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery

Wimbledon

COBOLLIWIN PROBABILITYFERY

77%

model prob.

@1.40

odds · 71% impl.

@1.29

fair odds

+8.4%

expected value

⚔H2H 0–1 Cobolli🌡31° · 34% hum◐Grass 60%🎾Serve 60%📈Form 8/10 · 4✓

THE MODEL'S REASONING

›Ranking: #10 vs #118 (better ranked)

›Recent form: 6/10 in recent matches

›Head-to-head: 0-1 against

›More rested: 23d vs opponent's 14d

›Model 77% vs market 71% → the model sees it as MORE likely than the odds

WATCH FOR

!Returning from a long layoff (23d) — possible rustiness

!Unfavorable head-to-head record (0-1)

Calibrated model probability (~65% accuracy out of sample). Not a guarantee: the model ≈ the market on average, so the odds already capture nearly all the edge. 18+ · gamble responsibly.

↗ Permanent page for this prediction

🔒

Analyze matches is Premium

The model's predictions for today's matches: calibrated probability, factor-by-factor reasoning and the risks.

See plans · from 7.42€/mo →I already have a Premium account