MODEL PREDICTION · 2026-09-02
● HARD
Q. Zheng vs Y. Putintseva — prediction
Result pending
ZHENGWIN PROBABILITYPUTINTSEVA
60%
model prob.
@1.36
odds · 74% impl.
⚔H2H 0–1 Zheng⏱Rest 2d vs 1d◐Hard 58%🎾Serve 63%📈Form 8/10 · 8✓
CONDITIONS OF THE MATCH◆ in the model◇ context
Surface◆
Hard
Consistent bounce, medium-fast: neutral conditions, no style favored.
Temperature◇
23°C
Mild: neutral conditions.
Humidity◇
79%
Very humid air: the ball gets heavy and points stretch out.
Wind◇
9 km/h
Light wind: no noticeable effect.
Surface feeds the model (surface specialization is one of its factors). Weather and altitude are context we publish for you — they do NOT move the probability.
OUR MODEL'S REASONING
›Ranking: #121 vs #84
›Recent form: 4/10 in recent matches
›Head-to-head: 0-1 against
›Solid on Hard: 64% career on the surface
›More rested: 36d vs opponent's 19d
›Model 60% vs market 74% → the model sees it as less likely than the odds
WATCH FOR
!Returning from a long layoff (36d) — possible rustiness
!Unfavorable head-to-head record (0-1)
Calibrated model probability (~64% out-of-sample accuracy, validated specifically on WTA). Not a guarantee: the model ≈ the market on average, so the odds already capture almost all the edge. 18+ · gamble responsibly.