MODEL PREDICTION · 2026-09-02
● HARD
A. Eala vs O. Oliynykova — prediction
Result pending
EALAWIN PROBABILITYOLIYNYKOVA
68%
model prob.
@1.05
odds · 95% impl.
⚔H2H 0–1 Eala⏱Rest 15d vs 1d◐Hard 60%🎾Serve 60%📈Form 6/10 · 2✓
CONDITIONS OF THE MATCH◆ in the model◇ context
Surface◆
Hard
Consistent bounce, medium-fast: neutral conditions, no style favored.
Temperature◇
23°C
Mild: neutral conditions.
Humidity◇
79%
Very humid air: the ball gets heavy and points stretch out.
Wind◇
9 km/h
Light wind: no noticeable effect.
Surface feeds the model (surface specialization is one of its factors). Weather and altitude are context we publish for you — they do NOT move the probability.
OUR MODEL'S REASONING
›Ranking: #18 vs #46 (better ranked)
›Recent form: 7/10 in recent matches
›Head-to-head: 0-1 against
›More rested: 15d vs opponent's 7d
›Model 68% vs market 95% → the model sees it as less likely than the odds
WATCH FOR
!Unfavorable head-to-head record (0-1)
Calibrated model probability (~64% out-of-sample accuracy, validated specifically on WTA). Not a guarantee: the model ≈ the market on average, so the odds already capture almost all the edge. 18+ · gamble responsibly.