MODEL PREDICTION · 2026-08-22
● HARD
K. Rakhimova vs L. Jeanjean — prediction
Monterrey
✓ Correct
RAKHIMOVAWIN PROBABILITYJEANJEAN
63%
model prob.
@1.50
odds · 67% impl.
⚔H2H 1–0 Rakhimova⏱Rest 7d vs 9d◐Hard 28%🎾Serve 55%📈Form 4/10
CONDITIONS OF THE MATCH◆ in the model◇ context
Surface◆
Hard
Consistent bounce, medium-fast: neutral conditions, no style favored.
Temperature◇
36°C
Strong heat: warm air speeds the ball up and physical wear tells in long matches.
Humidity◇
22%
Very dry air: the ball travels faster.
Wind◇
23 km/h
Some wind: makes baseline control harder.
Altitude◇
540 m
Moderate altitude: the ball flies a little more than at sea level.
Surface feeds the model (surface specialization is one of its factors). Weather and altitude are context we publish for you — they do NOT move the probability.
OUR MODEL'S REASONING
›Ranking: #83 vs #117 (better ranked)
›Recent form: 4/10 in recent matches
Calibrated model probability (~64% out-of-sample accuracy, validated specifically on WTA). Not a guarantee: the model ≈ the market on average, so the odds already capture almost all the edge. 18+ · gamble responsibly.