MODEL PREDICTION · 2026-08-11
● HARD
D. Salkova vs A. Blinkova — prediction
SALKOVAWIN PROBABILITYBLINKOVA
64%
model prob.
@1.78
odds · 56% impl.
⚔H2H 1–1 Salkova⏱Rest 10d vs 8d◐Hard 64%🎾Serve 52%📈Form 7/10
CONDITIONS OF THE MATCH◆ in the model◇ context
Surface◆
Hard
Consistent bounce, medium-fast: neutral conditions, no style favored.
Temperature◇
34°C
Strong heat: warm air speeds the ball up and physical wear tells in long matches.
Humidity◇
46%
Dry air: the ball travels normally.
Wind◇
21 km/h
Some wind: makes baseline control harder.
Surface feeds the model (surface specialization is one of its factors). Weather and altitude are context we publish for you — they do NOT move the probability.
OUR MODEL'S REASONING
›Ranking: #120 vs #108
›Recent form: 6/10 in recent matches
›Head-to-head: 1-1 even
›Solid on Hard: 62% career on the surface
›Model 64% vs market 56% → the model sees it as MORE likely than the odds
Calibrated model probability (~64% out-of-sample accuracy, validated specifically on WTA). Not a guarantee: the model ≈ the market on average, so the odds already capture almost all the edge. 18+ · gamble responsibly.