Challenger · ELO ESTIMATE · 2026-08-03
● CLAY
O. Milic vs I. Ivanov — prediction
Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria)
MILICWIN PROBABILITYIVANOV
62%
Elo prob.
@2.07
odds · 48% impl.
⏱Rest 22d vs 2d🎾Serve 56%📈Form 8/10 · 5✓
CONDITIONS OF THE MATCH◆ in the model◇ context
Surface◆
Clay
Slow court, high bounce: longer points, rewards whoever holds up from the baseline.
Surface feeds the model — surface specialization is one of its factors.
WHAT THE ESTIMATE IS BASED ON
›Tour Elo: 1748 vs 1661 — favorite by rating
›Challenger tier · 99 matches in the favorite's track record
›Elo estimate (not the ATP factor model): these are softer, less-analyzed markets
WATCH FOR
!Soft market: the value edge in Challenger/ITF is NOT proven live — treat it as an estimate, not an opportunity.
Tour Elo estimate (Challenger/ITF markets, not covered by the factor model). The value edge here is unproven live — it's a reference, not a recommendation. 18+ · gamble responsibly.