ITF · ELO ESTIMATE · 2026-08-03
● HARD
L. Wessels vs A. Colombo — prediction
M25+H Tauste
WESSELSWIN PROBABILITYCOLOMBO
74%
Elo prob.
@1.67
odds · 60% impl.
⏱Rest 8d vs 13d🎾Serve 63%📈Form 7/10 · 2✗
CONDITIONS OF THE MATCH◆ in the model◇ context
Surface◆
Hard
Consistent bounce, medium-fast: neutral conditions, no style favored.
Surface feeds the model — surface specialization is one of its factors.
WHAT THE ESTIMATE IS BASED ON
›Tour Elo: 1632 vs 1449 — favorite by rating
›ITF tier · 364 matches in the favorite's track record
›Elo estimate (not the ATP factor model): these are softer, less-analyzed markets
WATCH FOR
!Soft market: the value edge in Challenger/ITF is NOT proven live — treat it as an estimate, not an opportunity.
Tour Elo estimate (Challenger/ITF markets, not covered by the factor model). The value edge here is unproven live — it's a reference, not a recommendation. 18+ · gamble responsibly.